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Spoof Probability

Spoof Probability is a 0.00-1.00 score that estimates whether displayed order book activity looks manipulative. Learn the five signals and how to interpret risk levels.

What Spoof Probability measures

Spoof Probability is a synthetic risk score that estimates how likely the current order book behavior resembles spoofing rather than genuine liquidity provision. A value near 0.00 means signals look normal; values approaching 1.00 mean multiple manipulation-like patterns are present at the same time.

How to interpret the score

DepthFlow groups the score into practical states. Low values indicate normal market making behavior. Elevated values suggest caution: visible depth may disappear before it can be executed. High values indicate strong manipulation-like behavior where displayed support or resistance may be unreliable for trade decisions.

The five underlying signals

The score combines five microstructure signals: large order pull, liquidity trap behavior, fake support/resistance, momentum ignition patterns, and artificial price spikes. No single signal proves spoofing on its own; the score is strongest when several rise together over a short time window.

Using Spoof Probability on DepthFlow

Use the score as a risk filter, not a direction signal. If spoof risk rises while imbalance points strongly one way, reduce confidence in that directional read. In high-risk windows, smaller size and more conservative entry logic help avoid trading against quickly cancelled liquidity.